<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><rss xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/" xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom" version="2.0" xmlns:itunes="http://www.itunes.com/dtds/podcast-1.0.dtd" xmlns:googleplay="http://www.google.com/schemas/play-podcasts/1.0"><channel><title><![CDATA[Zachary Graeve: Lost In Transaction]]></title><description><![CDATA[The podcast for the economically curious. Where we unveil hidden forces, challenge mainstream ideas, spark insightful dialogues, and uncover unexpected realities.]]></description><link>https://www.lostecon.com/s/lost-in-transaction</link><image><url>https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NZeK!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd850834d-84c0-4aac-a041-2e37b8253be0_800x800.png</url><title>Zachary Graeve: Lost In Transaction</title><link>https://www.lostecon.com/s/lost-in-transaction</link></image><generator>Substack</generator><lastBuildDate>Sun, 21 Jun 2026 03:30:16 GMT</lastBuildDate><atom:link href="https://www.lostecon.com/feed" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml"/><copyright><![CDATA[Zachary Graeve]]></copyright><language><![CDATA[en]]></language><webMaster><![CDATA[lostecon@substack.com]]></webMaster><itunes:owner><itunes:email><![CDATA[lostecon@substack.com]]></itunes:email><itunes:name><![CDATA[Zachary Graeve]]></itunes:name></itunes:owner><itunes:author><![CDATA[Zachary Graeve]]></itunes:author><googleplay:owner><![CDATA[lostecon@substack.com]]></googleplay:owner><googleplay:email><![CDATA[lostecon@substack.com]]></googleplay:email><googleplay:author><![CDATA[Zachary Graeve]]></googleplay:author><itunes:block><![CDATA[Yes]]></itunes:block><item><title><![CDATA[The Paradox of Overconfidence ]]></title><description><![CDATA[A Conversation with Lionel Page]]></description><link>https://www.lostecon.com/p/the-paradox-of-overconfidence</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.lostecon.com/p/the-paradox-of-overconfidence</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Zachary Graeve]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 08 Sep 2023 17:29:23 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!qxhE!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F295b38ad-4a1f-49c2-be4b-d61fb81cfc64_1024x1024.webp" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I recently had the pleasure of inviting Lionel Page, director of the behavioral and economic science cluster at the University of Queensland, onto the "Lost in Transaction" podcast. As some of you may know, Lionel is the author of the book "Optimally Irrational: The Good Reasons We Behave the Way We Do."</p><p>In our enthralling conversation, we delved into some of the curious traits that human evolution has gifted us. One trait we discussed was overconfidence&#8212;a behavior often maligned but fascinatingly selected for through evolutionary pressures. While this trait can lead to dangerous outcomes for individuals, it may actually serve an essential function within the group dynamic.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!qxhE!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F295b38ad-4a1f-49c2-be4b-d61fb81cfc64_1024x1024.webp" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!qxhE!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F295b38ad-4a1f-49c2-be4b-d61fb81cfc64_1024x1024.webp 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!qxhE!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F295b38ad-4a1f-49c2-be4b-d61fb81cfc64_1024x1024.webp 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!qxhE!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F295b38ad-4a1f-49c2-be4b-d61fb81cfc64_1024x1024.webp 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!qxhE!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F295b38ad-4a1f-49c2-be4b-d61fb81cfc64_1024x1024.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!qxhE!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F295b38ad-4a1f-49c2-be4b-d61fb81cfc64_1024x1024.webp" width="1024" height="1024" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/295b38ad-4a1f-49c2-be4b-d61fb81cfc64_1024x1024.webp&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1024,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:130360,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/webp&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!qxhE!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F295b38ad-4a1f-49c2-be4b-d61fb81cfc64_1024x1024.webp 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!qxhE!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F295b38ad-4a1f-49c2-be4b-d61fb81cfc64_1024x1024.webp 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!qxhE!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F295b38ad-4a1f-49c2-be4b-d61fb81cfc64_1024x1024.webp 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!qxhE!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F295b38ad-4a1f-49c2-be4b-d61fb81cfc64_1024x1024.webp 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><h3>The Evolutionary Advantage of Overconfidence</h3><p>The crux of the argument is rather intriguing. Perhaps we didn't evolve to be mathematicians or astronomers, but rather social beings capable of navigating complex interactions. In such a framework, overconfidence becomes not a pitfall but a feature. It helps elevate individuals to leadership positions, benefiting the group as a whole even if it may sometimes risk individual wellbeing.</p><h3>The By-product of Logic and Reason</h3><p>Here comes the paradox: our abilities in reason, logic, and mathematics may not be the ultimate goals of evolution but by-products. These skills essentially help us determine when to trust these overconfident leaders and when to question them. Contrary to popular belief, being good at logic or math doesn't necessarily make one a good leader. It may, however, make one good at deciding whether or not to follow one.</p><h3>A Transformative Perspective</h3><p>Lionel&#8217;s book has genuinely affected the way I view human behaviors and decision-making. It has brought nuance into how I consider leadership, group dynamics, and the evolution of thought. While I'm still exploring how these revelations will impact my life and contributions moving forward, the insights have already left an indelible mark on my understanding of human nature.</p><p>I highly encourage you to <a href="https://www.lostecon.com/p/driving-the-wrong-way-choice-evolution-economics#details">listen to the full episode here</a> for a deeper dive into this subject and many more that Lionel and I explored.</p><p>As always, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments section below, or reach out to us via our social media channels. Your engagement is what keeps this community thriving!</p><p>For more episodes and exclusive content, don't forget to Subscribe to Lost in Transaction!</p><div><hr></div><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.lostecon.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Thanks for reading LOST IN TRANSACTION! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><div><hr></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Driving the Wrong Way: How Our Choices are Shaped by Evolution and Economics]]></title><description><![CDATA[In this debut episode of Lost In Transaction, we're joined by Professor Lionel Page, a leading expert in behavioral economics and the Director of the Behavioral and Economic Science Cluster at The University of Queensland in Australia.]]></description><link>https://www.lostecon.com/p/driving-the-wrong-way-how-our-choices-98f</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.lostecon.com/p/driving-the-wrong-way-how-our-choices-98f</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Zachary Graeve]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sun, 03 Sep 2023 14:00:00 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://api.substack.com/feed/podcast/202883221/3df30a12696ba50beacd14894e96ff30.mp3" length="0" type="audio/mpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In this debut episode of Lost In Transaction, we're joined by Professor Lionel Page, a leading expert in behavioral economics and the Director of the Behavioral and Economic Science Cluster at The University of Queensland in Australia. Together, we delve deep into the fascinating, often counter-intuitive world of economic behavior.</p><p>Why do taxi drivers clock in longer hours on slow days and call it quits early when business is booming? How does overconfidence, seemingly a road to ruin, continue to be an evolutionary selection? And how do game theory and repeated interactions affect our decisions in the long run?</p><p>As we navigate through these compelling topics, Professor Page provides us with insights from his book "Optimally Irrational: The Good Reasons We Behave the Way We Do," encouraging us to rethink what we thought we knew about economic behavior and decision-making. Whether you're a curious learner or an economics fanatic, this episode offers fresh perspectives and tangible applications that you won't want to miss.</p><p>Discover how the intricate forces of evolution and economics shape our choices&#8212;choices that might seem irrational at first glance but have deeper underlying reasons. Tune in to find out more!</p><p>Don't miss out on unraveling the mysteries behind our seemingly irrational choices. Subscribe to Lost In Transaction on your favorite podcast app. For a deeper dive into these topics, join the conversation on our Substack!</p><p><strong>Connect with Lionel Page</strong></p><p>Lionel Page is a Professor of Economics at The University of Queensland in Australia, where he also serves as the Director of the Behavioral and Economic Science Cluster. He's the author of "Optimally Irrational: The Good Reasons We Behave the Way We Do," a compelling look into the intersection of economics, behavior, and evolution.</p><p>&#128216; <strong>Read His Book</strong><a href="https://a.co/d/3iPoSSE">Optimally Irrational: The Good Reasons We Behave the Way We Do</a></p><p>&#128221; <strong>Substack Publication</strong><a href="https://lionelpage.substack.com/">Optimally Irrational</a></p><p>&#128038; <strong>Follow on Twitter</strong><a href="https://twitter.com/page_eco">@page_eco</a></p><p><br><br>This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit <a href="https://www.lostecon.com?utm_medium=podcast&amp;utm_campaign=CTA_1">www.lostecon.com</a></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Teaser: Lost in Transaction]]></title><description><![CDATA[Uncovering unseen economic forces, exploring paradoxes & challenging what we thought we knew.]]></description><link>https://www.lostecon.com/p/teaser-lost-in-transaction-2b7</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.lostecon.com/p/teaser-lost-in-transaction-2b7</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Zachary Graeve]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 07 Jul 2023 13:23:17 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://api.substack.com/feed/podcast/202883222/ad92d4bcc97178c2474c171f103787c8.mp3" length="0" type="audio/mpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Uncovering unseen economic forces, exploring paradoxes &amp; challenging what we thought we knew. The podcast for the economically curious.</p><p><br><br>This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit <a href="https://www.lostecon.com?utm_medium=podcast&amp;utm_campaign=CTA_1">www.lostecon.com</a></p>]]></content:encoded></item></channel></rss>